Courses & Units
Probability Models 3 KMA305
Introduction
The unit develops foundation skills for the analysis of real-life systems with elements of uncertainty, useful for careers in the Physical and Biological Sciences, Operations Research, Statistics, Engineering, Computer Science, Finance and Economics. The unit covers major topics from Probability Theory, with the focus on developing in-depth knowledge from both theoretical and modelling points of view.
Topics: Axiomatic probability theory: sample space, event, probabilities on events, independent events, Bayes' formula; Random variable, probability distribution, expectation, conditional probability; Distribution functions: discrete, continuous; joint distribution; probability generating function; Laplace transform; moment generating function; limit theorems. Stochastic Processes: Bernoulli process; Poisson process; discrete-time Markov Chains: Chapman-Kolmogorov equations, classification of states, recurrence, limiting probabilities; continuous-time Markov Chains: Kolmogorov differential equations, embedded chains, equilibrium distributions. Students will use MATLAB for the numerical experimentation.
Summary
Unit name | Probability Models 3 |
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Unit code | KMA305 |
Credit points | 12.5 |
College/School | College of Sciences and Engineering School of Natural Sciences |
Discipline | Mathematics |
Coordinator | Associate Professor Malgorzata O'Reilly |
Available as an elective? | Yes |
Delivered By | University of Tasmania |
Level | Advanced |
Availability
Location | Study period | Attendance options | Available to | ||
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Hobart | Semester 1 | On-Campus | International | Domestic |
Key
- On-campus
- Off-Campus
- International students
- Domestic students
Key Dates
Study Period | Start date | Census date | WW date | End date |
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Semester 1 | 21/2/2022 | 22/3/2022 | 11/4/2022 | 29/5/2022 |
* The Final WW Date is the final date from which you can withdraw from the unit without academic penalty, however you will still incur a financial liability (refer to How do I withdraw from a unit? for more information).
Unit census dates currently displaying for 2022 are indicative and subject to change. Finalised census dates for 2022 will be available from the 1st October 2021. Note census date cutoff is 11.59pm AEST (AEDT during October to March).
Learning Outcomes
- Construct suitable probability models for a range of real-world situations.
- Apply problem-solving and analytical techniques for the analysis of abstract and real-world problems.
- Read and communicate in relevant mathematical language and notation to an audience of peers.
- Supply and use formal definitions and properties of fundamental mathematical structures encountered in the unit, in the context of rigorous analysis.
Fee Information
Field of Education | Commencing Student Contribution 1,3 | Grandfathered Student Contribution 1,3 | Approved Pathway Course Student Contribution 2,3 | Domestic Full Fee 4 |
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010101 | $498.00 | $498.00 | not applicable | $2,402.00 |
1 Please refer to more information on student contribution amounts.
2 Please refer to more information on eligibility and Approved Pathway courses.
3 Please refer to more information on eligibility for HECS-HELP.
4 Please refer to more information on eligibility for FEE-HELP.
If you have any questions in relation to the fees, please contact UConnect or more information is available on StudyAssist.
Please note: international students should refer to What is an indicative Fee? to get an indicative course cost.
Requisites
Prerequisites
Any Intermediate unit in MathematicsTeaching
Teaching Pattern | 3 x 1-hr lectures, 1 x 1-hr tutorial , 1 x 1-hr lab weekly |
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Assessment | Examination (50%)|Assignment (multiple) (50%) |
Timetable | View the lecture timetable | View the full unit timetable |
Textbooks
Required |
Required readings will be listed in the unit outline prior to the start of classes. |
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Recommended | • S. M. Ross, Introduction to Probability Models | Links | Booktopia textbook finder |
The University reserves the right to amend or remove courses and unit availabilities, as appropriate.