Profiles

Jing Tian

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Jing Tian

Senior Lecturer in Economics (Finance)
Tasmanian School of Business and Economics

Room 315 , Centenary Building

+61 3 6226 2323 (phone)

Jing.Tian@utas.edu.au

Dr Jing Tian is a Senior lecturer of economics at the Tasmanian School of Business and Economics at University of Tasmania and is an associated researcher at the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis. She received her Ph.D. in Economics from the Australian National University. Her research has focused on the areas of econometric forecasting and applied macro econometrics. Her current projects include evaluating information flow in weather forecast revisions, analysis of electricity demand forecast revisions and trend-cycle-seasonal decomposition. She is enthusiastic to explore how to improve the use of weather forecasts for optimal decision making.

Career summary

Qualifications

DegreeTitle of ThesisUniversityCountryAwarded
PhDEssays on Econometric ForecastingAustralian National UniversityAustralia2010
MEc Australian National UniversityAustralia2005
GradDip Ec Australian National UniversityAustralia2004
BEc Zhongnan University of Economics and LawChina2001

Teaching

Econometrics, Forecasting, Business Statistics, Applied Macroeconomics

Teaching responsibility

Jing is Unit Coordinator and Lecturer for:

View more on Dr Jing Tian in WARP

Expertise

  • Structural time series modelling and forecasting
  • Multi-horizon forecast evaluation
  • Weather forecasts and decision making

Research Themes

Jing's research aligns to the University's research theme of Data, Knowledge and Decision.

Fields of Research

  • Economic models and forecasting (380203)
  • Environment and resource economics (380105)
  • Financial economics (380107)
  • Macroeconomics (incl. monetary and fiscal theory) (380112)
  • Econometric and statistical methods (380202)
  • Financial econometrics (350203)
  • Time-series analysis (380205)
  • Applied economics (380199)
  • Tourism economics (380116)
  • Electrical energy generation (incl. renewables, excl. photovoltaics) (400803)

Research Objectives

  • Macroeconomics (150299)
  • Other economic framework (159999)
  • Economic growth (150203)
  • Expanding knowledge in economics (280108)
  • Finance services (110201)
  • Production (150510)
  • Fiscal policy (150205)
  • Monetary policy (150208)
  • Wind energy (170808)
  • Energy systems and analysis (170305)
  • Supply and demand (150511)
  • Industry policy (150505)
  • Market-based mechanisms (150506)

Publications

Total publications

9

Journal Article

(9 outputs)
YearCitationAltmetrics
2022Tian J, Doko Tchatoka F, Goodwin T, 'Are internally consistent forecasts rational?', Journal of Forecasting, 41, (7) pp. 1338-1355. ISSN 0277-6693 (2022) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1002/for.2871 [eCite] [Details]

Co-authors: Goodwin T

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2021Hurn S, Tian J, Xu L, 'Assessing the informational content of official Australian Bureau of Meteorology forecasts of wind speed', Economic Record pp. 1-23. ISSN 0013-0249 (2021) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12627 [eCite] [Details]

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2018Hindrayanto I, Jacobs JPAM, Osborn DR, Tian J, 'Trend-cycle-seasonal interactions: Identification and estimation', Macroeconomic Dynamics pp. 1-26. ISSN 1365-1005 (2018) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1017/S1365100517001092 [eCite] [Details]

Citations: Scopus - 4Web of Science - 2

Co-authors: Jacobs JPAM; Osborn DR

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2017Dungey M, Jacobs JPAM, Tian J, 'Forecasting output gaps in the G-7 countries: the role of correlated innovations and structural breaks', Applied Economics, 49, (45) pp. 4554-4566. ISSN 0003-6846 (2017) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284998 [eCite] [Details]

Citations: Scopus - 2Web of Science - 2

Co-authors: Dungey M; Jacobs JPAM

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2016Tian J, Zhou Q, 'Improving equity premium forecasts by incorporating structural break uncertainty', Accounting and Finance pp. 1-38. ISSN 0810-5391 (2016) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1111/acfi.12240 [eCite] [Details]

Citations: Web of Science - 2

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2015Dungey MH, Jacobs J, Tian J, Norden Van S, 'Trend in cycle or cycle in trend? New structural identifications for unobserved-components models of U.S. real GDP', Macroeconomic Dynamics, 19, (4) pp. 776-790. ISSN 1365-1005 (2015) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1017/S1365100513000606 [eCite] [Details]

Citations: Scopus - 4Web of Science - 4

Co-authors: Dungey MH; Jacobs J

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2014Tian J, Anderson HM, 'Forecast combinations under structural break uncertainty', International Journal of Forecasting, 30, (1) pp. 161-175. ISSN 0169-2070 (2014) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.06.003 [eCite] [Details]

Citations: Scopus - 22Web of Science - 22

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2014Yamazaki S, Tian J, Doko Tchatoka S, 'Are per capita CO2 emissions increasing among OECD countries? A test of trends and breaks', Applied Economics Letters, 21, (8) pp. 569-572. ISSN 1350-4851 (2014) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.875103 [eCite] [Details]

Citations: Scopus - 11Web of Science - 10

Co-authors: Yamazaki S; Doko Tchatoka S

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2013Dungey M, Jacobs JPAM, Tian J, van Norden S, 'On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition', Applied Economics Letters, 20, (4) pp. 312-315. ISSN 1350-4851 (2013) [Refereed Article]

DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697118 [eCite] [Details]

Co-authors: Dungey M

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Grants & Funding

Funding Summary

Number of grants

5

Total funding

$12,046,044

Projects

Agricultural Innovation Hubs Program (2022 - 2023)$2,499,999
Description
The University of Tasmania hosts one of eight Drought Resilience Adoption and Innovation Hubs established across Australia under the Commonwealth's Future Drought Fund. Hubs are intended to be enduring institutions. The current proposal is about the Commonwealth's call to expand the Hubs' remit to service four priority areas under the National Agricultural Innovation Agenda. If funded, the Hub in Tasmania will need to operate under two agreements: the current agreement for the 'Drought Hub' and a new agreement that is about developing the Hub's pathway to expansion, while continuing to deliver to the 'Drought Hub' under the current agreement. This proposal presents the Hub's Statement of Claims on its ability and commitment to deliver practical activities and a business case that supports the National Agricultural Innovation Agenda
Funding
Department of Agriculture Water and the Environment ($2,499,999)
Scheme
Agricultural Innovation Hubs Program
Administered By
University of Tasmania
Research Team
Knowles SG; Mohammed CL; Kumar S; Field B; Jones ME; Anders RJ; Higgins VJ; Bryant M; Gracie AJ; Wilson MD; Harrison MT; Jordan GJ; O'Reilly-Wapstra JM; Barmuta LA; Remenyi TA; Kang BH; Amin M; Fraser SP; Kilpatrick SI; Barnes NR; Beasy KM; Stoeckl NE; D'Alessandro SP; Tian J; Chuah S; Norris K; Ferguson SG; Auckland SRJ; Evans KJ
Period
2022 - 2023
Drought Resilience Tasmania - Actionable Knowledge and Solutions for Sustainable Prosperity (2021 - 2024)$9,530,969
Description
Water is a major asset for Tasmania linked to livelihoods, energy production, irrigated and rainfed agriculture, environmental management and conservation. Competing demands forwater intensify during droughts and as hot and dry years increase in number. Wise and fair water management requires a multi-stakeholder partnership to innovate for droughtresilience, optimal water management and self-reliance. Our Hub will enable drought preparedness in Tasmania through collective and co-designed actions that sustain Tasmania'shigh-value, clean, green international brand. We will engage with local knowledge and land stewardship through a deliberate and negotiated process and uphold the rights ofTasmanian Aboriginal people to benefit from innovations they enable. The Hub, for the first time, brings together the major players - farmers, land and water managers, researchers,and indigenous knowledge owners - who, together can reduce the risks associated with drought in Tasmania.
Funding
Department of Agriculture Water and the Environment ($9,530,969)
Scheme
Future Drought Fund
Administered By
University of Tasmania
Research Team
Knowles SG; Mohammed CL; Kumar S; Field B; Harris R; Jones ME; Anders RJ; Higgins VJ; Bryant M; Harrison MT; Gracie AJ; Wilson MD; Jordan GJ; O'Reilly-Wapstra JM; Barmuta LA; Remenyi TA; Kang BH; Amin M; Maiti A; Fraser SP; Kilpatrick SI; Barnes NR; Beasy KM; Coleman BJ; Stoeckl NE; D'Alessandro SP; Tian J; Chuah S; Norris K; Ferguson SG; Auckland SRJ; Evans KJ
Period
2021 - 2024
33rd International Symposium on Forecasting, Seoul, Korea (2013)$2,500
Funding
University of Tasmania ($2,500)
Scheme
Grant-Conference Support Scheme
Administered By
University of Tasmania
Research Team
Tian J
Year
2013
Macroeconomic News, Data Revisions and Financial Markets (2012)$7,000
Funding
University of Tasmania ($7,000)
Scheme
Grant-Research Enhancement (REGS)
Administered By
University of Tasmania
Research Team
Tian J
Year
2012
Forecasting when Loss Function is Asymmetric (2011)$5,576
Funding
University of Tasmania ($5,576)
Scheme
Grant-New Appointees Research Grant Scheme (NARGS)
Administered By
University of Tasmania
Research Team
Tian J
Year
2011

Research Supervision

Jing is seeking new PhD and honours students who are interested in research in the area of forecasting and applied macro econometrics. She is currently supervising three PhD students and two honours student.

Current

4

Completed

4

Current

DegreeTitleCommenced
PhDWeather and Agricultural Forecasting to Enhance Nutrition Resilience and Climate Change Adaptation among Smallholder Farmers in East Africa2019
PhDIntraday Price Jumps and Liquidity Dynamics: Evidence from the Australian Stock Exchange2021
PhDEconometric Analysis of the Nexus between Fisheries and Human Behaviours2021
PhDMacroeconomic impact of uncertainty in small open economies2022

Completed

DegreeTitleCompleted
PhDStrategic Behaviour Analysis and Modelling of Electricity Prices of Australian National Electricity Market
Candidate: Ali Ghahremanlou
2021
PhDEvaluating the Role of Mixed Frequency Real-time Weather Data in Economic Forecasts
Candidate: Thomas Keith Goodwin
2017
PhDEssays on Asset Pricing
Candidate: Biplob Chowdhury
2017
PhDIdiosyncratic Risk Assessment in the Mortgage Market
Candidate: Maria Belen Yanotti
2015