Predictive modelling for management

Predictive modelling to inform institutional processes in integrated oceans management

Degree type


Closing date

1 July 2023



Citizenship requirement


About the research project

This PhD will examine what factors or components of integrative capacity can or cannot be incorporated into decision-support modelling tools. The aim is to expand the capacity of predictive coastal social-ecological system models to include a richer and more authentic variety of human responses, particularly social and political dynamics to do with policy relevant decision making and the responses of coastal ocean users to decisions around the use of spatial areas and resources.

The project will leverage well respected CSIRO system models used in numerous marine ecosystems around Australia and the globe. Once these modelling frameworks have been expanded by incorporating the appropriate integrative governance processes, decision-making and human responses, the project will use these predictive models to map relationships between governments and end-users (decision and policy makers).

The work is part of a bigger project considering integrated governance and will draw on data collected in that larger project as a basis of the modelling work. The goal of the project is to develop predictive models that could assist in strengthening integrative capacity for management issues, planning for climate change and supporting the sustainable and equitable development of coastal ecosystems and marine industries.

Primary Supervisor

Meet Prof Marcus Haward


Applicants will be considered for a Research Training Program (RTP) scholarship or Tasmania Graduate Research Scholarship (TGRS) which, if successful, provides:

  • a living allowance stipend of $31,500 per annum (2023 rate, indexed annually) for 3.5 years
  • a relocation allowance of up to $2,000
  • a tuition fees offset covering the cost of tuition fees for up to four years (domestic applicants only)

If successful, international applicants will receive a University of Tasmania Fees Offset for up to four years.

As part of the application process you may indicate if you do not wish to be considered for scholarship funding.


Applicants should review the Higher Degree by Research minimum entry requirements.

Ensure your eligibility for the scholarship round by referring to our Key Dates.

Additional eligibility criteria specific to this project/scholarship:

  • Applicants must be able to undertake the project on-campus

Selection Criteria

The project is competitively assessed and awarded.  Selection is based on academic merit and suitability to the project as determined by the College.

Additional essential selection criteria specific to this project:

  • First-class Honours or Masters equivalent research in science, mathematics or related discipline
  • Demonstrated proficiency in written and verbal English language
  • Understanding of marine systems modelling

Additional desirable selection criteria specific to this project:

  • Experience in qualitative modelling
  • Knowledge of marine socio-ecological systems
  • Understanding of oceans management and governance

Application process

  1. Select your project, and check that you meet the eligibility and selection criteria, including citizenship;
  2. Contact Prof Marcus Haward to discuss your suitability and the project's requirements; and
  3. In your application:
    • Copy and paste the title of the project from this advertisement into your application. If you don’t correctly do this your application may be rejected.
    • Submit a signed supervisory support form, a CV including contact details of 2 referees and your project research proposal.
  4. Apply prior to 1 July 2023.

Full details of the application process can be found under the 'How to apply' section of the Research Degrees website.

Following the closing date applications will be assessed within the College. Applicants should expect to receive notification of the outcome by email by the advertised outcome date.

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